Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.033650 0.039294 0.045512 0.052859 0.061291 0.070655 0.081829
2025-07-20 0.026207 0.033815 0.042977 0.054777 0.069518 0.087272 0.110213
2025-07-27 0.019935 0.028110 0.038758 0.053540 0.073403 0.099032 0.134439
2025-08-03 0.015821 0.024150 0.035781 0.053025 0.077711 0.111503 0.160921
2025-08-10 0.012511 0.020544 0.032499 0.051311 0.079814 0.120936 0.184162
2025-08-17 0.010138 0.017805 0.029902 0.049995 0.082033 0.130471 0.208327
2025-08-24 0.008569 0.016006 0.028379 0.049959 0.085977 0.142753 0.237656
2025-08-31 0.007106 0.014085 0.026303 0.048629 0.087537 0.151313 0.261893
2025-09-07 0.006445 0.013464 0.026311 0.050758 0.094984 0.169958 0.304087
2025-09-14 0.005609 0.012346 0.025238 0.050772 0.098693 0.182641 0.337463
2025-09-21 0.004753 0.011024 0.023565 0.049404 0.099676 0.190612 0.363345
2025-09-28 0.004115 0.010031 0.022367 0.048747 0.101829 0.200753 0.393873
2025-10-05 0.003863 0.009851 0.022819 0.051495 0.110965 0.224774 0.452419
2025-10-12 0.003554 0.009486 0.022828 0.053338 0.118533 0.246624 0.509043
2025-10-19 0.003055 0.008568 0.021489 0.052116 0.119698 0.256250 0.543202
2025-10-26 0.002677 0.007874 0.020540 0.051607 0.122269 0.268849 0.584291
2025-11-02 0.002285 0.007059 0.019170 0.049933 0.122085 0.275793 0.614591
2025-11-09 0.001972 0.006389 0.018041 0.048648 0.122584 0.284140 0.648443
2025-11-16 0.001761 0.005966 0.017464 0.048612 0.125912 0.298769 0.696699
2025-11-23 0.001524 0.005411 0.016445 0.047315 0.126099 0.306533 0.730843
2025-11-30 0.001447 0.005335 0.016715 0.049390 0.134669 0.333739 0.809879
2025-12-07 0.001303 0.005011 0.016237 0.049404 0.138130 0.349620 0.864930
2025-12-14 0.001133 0.004560 0.015315 0.048070 0.138009 0.357164 0.901643